By Max Godnick
I don’t really think Mccain’s boost is such a surprise. Other than the ten point lead in the Gallup tracking poll, Mccain only has a one to three point lead in most polls, and one week ago, he was virtually tied with Obama. I don’t think a presidential candidate has ever not received a boost after the convention and considering how Obama really only had one day to let his boost be seen (because Palin frenzy began a mere twelve hours after Obama’s acceptance speech, and the GOP convention began three days afterwards), Mccain’s sudden lead seems less than shocking.
Everyone knows the race is close. Everyone knows Sarah Palin changed everything up. Everyone knows Obama is no longer the guaranteed forty fourth president of the United States, these are all headline stories of two weeks ago. The new themes and headlines will begin to trickle in as the Fall campaign commences. Sixty days is a short time, and the election will come about very soon. The numbers from the past two days do show us now how close the race is, but this isn’t news. It merely prolongs a narrative into the next and final stretch of what has been a benchmark in American history. When the boosts and conventions are taken into effect, nothing has really changed. Mccain’s trajectory was nothing but upward a week ago, and has not jumped or declined significantly. So we are still tied, well, Mccain might be winning, but not by much. Nothing is set in stone, and all the drama over the numbers has just been fueled by news cycles. The next sixty days will be dictated by stories of greater surprise and value.
The real decider will be in the coming weeks. As in recent presidential elections, debates are probably the largest factor of the late season campaign. With two candidates as eloquent and intelligent as Obama and Biden, I can’t help but feel optimistic.
By Max Godnick



